Kenya Met reveals why Kenyans may face higher risk of influenza and pneumonia
By Aloys Michael, June 1, 2026The Kenya Meteorological Department (KMD) has warned that cold, cloudy and foggy conditions expected across several parts of the country between June and August could trigger a rise in respiratory illnesses, including influenza and pneumonia.
In its June-July-August (JJA) 2026 seasonal forecast released on Monday, June 1, 2026, Kenya Met cautioned that the country’s cold season may pose significant health risks, particularly in the highland regions where temperatures are expected to drop and cloud cover increase.
“Cold conditions in the Highlands East and West of the Rift Valley, as well as some parts of the South-eastern Lowlands and the Rift Valley, may increase cases of respiratory illnesses such as influenza and pneumonia,” the department said.
The warning comes as millions of Kenyans prepare for the traditionally cold June-August period, which is often characterised by chilly mornings, overcast skies and fog in several counties.
According to Kenya Met, cool and cloudy conditions accompanied by occasional fog are expected in the Highlands East and West of the Rift Valley, including Nairobi, Kiambu, Nyeri, Murang’a, Kirinyaga, Kericho and Bomet. Similar weather conditions are also forecast in parts of the South-eastern Lowlands and Marsabit County.
The department noted that while temperatures are likely to remain warmer than average across much of the country, localised cold conditions will still prevail in several high-altitude areas, increasing the likelihood of seasonal respiratory infections.
Ministry of Health had previously linked cold weather to increased transmission of influenza viruses, particularly in crowded indoor environments where ventilation is limited.
Pneumonia, which remains one of the leading causes of illness and death among young children and older adults, is also more common during cold seasons.
Beyond influenza and pneumonia, Kenya Met warned that strong winds and prolonged dry conditions in arid and semi-arid regions could create additional health challenges.
“In arid and semi-arid regions that are expected to remain dry, dust exposure driven by strong winds may aggravate respiratory problems and eye infections,” the forecast stated.
The department predicts strong southerly, south-easterly and easterly winds exceeding 25 knots over parts of the Coast, North-eastern Kenya, North-western Kenya and the South-eastern Lowlands.
The department has advised Kenyans to take preventive measures, including keeping warm, ensuring proper ventilation in homes and seeking medical attention early when experiencing symptoms associated with influenza, pneumonia and other respiratory illnesses.