Saboti Member of Parliament (MP) Caleb Amisi has predicted that Kenya’s 2027 presidential election will head to a run-off, arguing that the latest opinion poll showing President William Ruto leading the race with 32 per cent support also indicates that a majority of Kenyans remain unconvinced by his administration.

Reacting to the findings of the latest Infotrak survey, Amisi said the numbers demonstrate that President Ruto is far from securing an outright first-round victory, urging opposition leaders to put aside personal ambitions and unite behind a single candidate.

“If Ruto is rating at 32%, it means 68% of Kenyans do not want him. And it will not change,” Amisi said in a statement shared via his official X account on Tuesday, July 14, 2026.

“Simple. Most opposition leaders we have today are too egoistic to endorse others.”

The outspoken MP warned that divisions within the opposition could hand President Ruto an easier path to re-election, despite growing dissatisfaction among voters.

“2027 is a run-off, my people. I wish we could avoid this trap by all means necessary. Join forces!” he added.

Throws weight behind Sifuna

Amisi reiterated his support for Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna, saying Kenya needs a new generation of leaders capable of inspiring young voters who have increasingly expressed frustration with the country’s traditional political class.

“I have been vouching for Sifuna and if not Sifuna, at least someone new. Kenyans are tired of the same faces year in, year out,” he stated.

The legislator has consistently defended Sifuna’s presidential ambitions in recent months. In late June, he dismissed fabricated social media claims suggesting he had ruled out Sifuna’s chances of defeating President Ruto, insisting that the Nairobi senator remains one of his preferred candidates for the presidency.

Poll places Ruto ahead

Amisi’s remarks followed the release of an Infotrak opinion poll showing President Ruto leading the 2027 presidential race with 32 per cent support.

According to the survey, Wiper Patriotic Front leader Kalonzo Musyoka ranked second with 13 per cent, while Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna emerged third with 12 per cent, ahead of several other opposition figures.

The poll has sparked fresh debate over whether the opposition should field multiple candidates or unite behind a single flagbearer to avoid splitting the anti-Ruto vote.

Opposition unity in focus

Calls for opposition unity have intensified following a series of political realignments ahead of the 2027 General Election.

Leaders associated with the Linda Mwananchi movement, Jubilee Party, Wiper Patriotic Front and allies of former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua have repeatedly spoken of the need to present a united front against President Ruto.

However, the opposition has yet to agree on a single presidential candidate, with several names, including Kalonzo Musyoka, Fred Matiang’i, Edwin Sifuna and Gachagua, continuing to feature prominently in succession discussions.

Amisi argued that failure to resolve those competing ambitions could force the election into a second round.

Run-off threshold

Under Article 138 of the Constitution, a presidential candidate must secure more than 50 per cent of all valid votes cast and at least 25 per cent of the votes in a minimum of 24 counties to be declared the winner in the first round.

If no candidate meets both thresholds, the election proceeds to a run-off between the two candidates who receive the highest number of votes.

Kenya has never held a presidential run-off since the 2010 Constitution came into force, with winners in both the 2013, 2017 and 2022 elections being declared after the first round.