Barca and Madrid’s title race might go down to head-to-head records
Madrid, Wednesday
La Liga returns on Thursday after the enforced break due to the coronavirus pandemic.
There are 110 matches left to be played in just 35 days and there are a number of key issues still to be resolved in the Spanish top flight.
Sportsmail has taken a look at all the big battles ahead: Who will win the league? Who will make the Champions League?
Who will qualify for the Europa League? Who will go down? Who finishes as top-scorer, and who will go down as the man of the 2019-20 campaign?
Who will finish as the champions?
Barcelona have a two-point advantage but if the teams finish level at the end of the season Real Madrid will win the league on head-to-head goal difference.
Real Madrid have Eden Hazard and Marco Asensio back to help Karim Benzema in attack. Madrid have scored 14 fewer goals than Barcelona this season.
Their return might help Madrid close that gap but the bad news for them is Barcelona have Luis Suarez available.
There is nothing in it when it comes to run-ins: Barcelona have to play Atletico Madrid at home and Sevilla away. Real Madrid have to go to Athletic Bilbao and Real Sociedad.
The stadium factor could be key. The Nou Camp, even when empty, can impose itself on rival teams.
Madrid are playing their season out in the 6,000 capacity stadium of their B-team. When Eibar turn up there at the weekend it will seem like a home from home for the visitors.
Barcelona have Messi of course, but his priority is the Champions League. Will he time his peak to fit that rather than these first few games of the 11-match run-in?
Zidane desperately wants the league and his team’s away form is better than Barcelona’s.
There are so many variables it’s so hard to call but Barcelona’s team spirit might wobble if they get a couple of bad results.
Constant speculation over players’ futures will come to the fore.
Don’t bet against them ending up level with Madrid, who will therefore take the title on head to head goal average.
Will Getafe qualify for the Champions League?
Not as it stands, no. They are level on points with Real Sociedad but lay fifth on goal difference.
That said, the head to head goal difference will kick-in at the end of the season and that should favour Getafe who beat Real Sociedad earlier in the season in San Sebastian and host them in a couple of weeks.
Both clubs could squeeze into the Champions League if third-placed Sevilla fall away.
Julen Lopetegui’s side were not in the best of form when the league stopped but they do have a big squad to cope with the concentration of games and they are free from Europa League football at the moment.
And why are Atletico Madrid not in this conversation?
Because they are sixth at the moment and heading for a potentially disastrous Europa League finish.
If Madrid’s season hangs on how well Hazard comes back, and if Barcelona’s season depends on how well Luis Suarez comes back, then Atletico’s fate could depend on Diego Costa.
Is he really back to his physically intimidating best? That is what the whispers around the club say. If it’s true and if, buoyed by their win over Liverpool, they can find their form then they should still make a run for the top four.
It would be a shame for Diego Simeone’s sidekick Mono Burgos’ goodbye season to end in anti-climax. The rambunctious No 2 is going off to be a No 1 somewhere in the summer.
He’ll want to make sure they barge their way past at least two other teams to make top four. -Dailymail








